CryptoQuant founder: BTC’s sell-side liquidity is currently well below historical levels

Amid rising inflation, geopolitical conflicts, and oil prices surpassing $100, G7 central banks are entering a crucial rate-setting week. Driven by higher-than-expected core inflation, the Federal Reserve is expected to implement its first rate hike in three years; the Bank of Japan is likely to raise rates to 1.25%, marking a 30-year high; meanwhile, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Canada are also reinforcing their hawkish stances. Global monetary policy is undergoing a major turnaround towards collective tightening.

The Citi report points out that the current macro environment is highly similar to the tightening cycle of 1988-1989, when the economy remained resilient and inflation pressures gradually accumulated, followed by a slowdown in economic activity before policies shifted to easing. During that tightening cycle, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 16 times in a row.