Ethereum’s $3,400 Ceiling Sparks $163 Million ETF Outflows
Ethereum faces bearish pressure at $3,400, triggering $163M ETF outflows. While a bull flag hints at gains, risks of a drop to $3,262 remain.
Ethereum (ETH) spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed a significant outflow of $163 million this week. This comes as the bullish sentiment trailing the leading altcoin begins to wane, making it a struggle for the coin’s price to break through the $3,400 resistance level.
As ETH’s price faces bearish pressure, it may begin to shed more of its gains in the coming weeks. This analysis explains why.
Ethereum Buying Pressure Faces Dip
According to data from SosoValue, Ethereum ETF outflows this week have totaled $163 million. This represents the third-highest weekly net outflows since these funds became tradeable on July 23.
Notably, this trend of Ethereum ETF outflows follows a remarkable surge in inflows, which hit a record-breaking $515.17 million in weekly inflows — the highest since their launch. This spike in inflows was fueled by Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 US election, which triggered a parabolic rally in the crypto market.
Total Ethereum Spot ETF Net Inflow. Source:
SoSoValue
However, ETH’s price has begun to struggle as bearish sentiment against it gains momentum. BeInCrypto reported earlier that the ETH/BTC ratio, which measures Ethereum’s price performance against Bitcoin, has fallen to its lowest point since March 2021. This comes as profit-taking activity intensifies among the altcoin holders, paving the way for the bears to regain market control.
Moreover, Ethereum’s falling Aroon Up Line confirms the weakening bullish presence in the market. At press time, the coin’s Aroon Up Line is downward at 28.57%.
The Aroon indicator identifies trends and their strength. It consists of two lines: Aroon Up and Aroon Down. Aroon Up measures the time since a new 25-period high, while Aroon Down measures the time since a new 25-period low.
Ethereum Aroon Up Line. Source:
TradingView
When the Aroon Up Line falls, it signals a weakening uptrend or the potential for a trend reversal. This occurs when the price is taking longer to reach new highs, indicating a loss of momentum. A falling Aroon Up line is interpreted as a bearish signal, suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading and a potential downtrend may be underway.
ETH Price Prediction: Is a Bull Flag Forming?
Interestingly, an assessment of the ETH/USD one-day chart has revealed that a bull flag may be underway. This pattern often precedes a continuation of an uptrend.
A bull flag consists of a rapid price increase (the flagpole) followed by a period of consolidation (the flag). Once the price breaks above the flag’s resistance level, it signals a potential resumption of the uptrend.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source:
TradingView
ETH’s successful break above the upper line of the horizontal channel at $3,997 will confirm the uptrend; if this happens, the coin’s price may rally toward $3,534. However, if buying pressure declines further, ETH’s price may plummet to $3,262, invalidating the bullish outlook above.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Prospects for the opening of the Hormuz Strait are overshadowed, Asian bonds under pressure: 2Y Japanese bond yield approaches 2%, 3Y Korean bond yield rises to highest level since 2022
With high oil prices, short-term bond yields in South Korea and Japan have risen.
5% US Treasury pressure weighs on global assets, while Australian government bonds open up a window for allocation? Fixed income giant Pimco calls the rate hike expectations too aggressive
Pacific Investment Management Company (Pimco) holds a constructive view on Australian bonds, believing that market expectations for rate hikes are too high. Pimco stated that the rate hike cycle in Australia has been "fully priced in," and cracks are beginning to appear in the economy, making Australian bonds look attractive, especially in the 5- to 10-year segment of the yield curve.
Only a few stocks are rising! Goldman Sachs warns: US stock market breadth hits the worst level since the 2000 internet bubble, with rare divergence in bond volatility
Flood, a Goldman Sachs partner, believes that leading AI companies are propping up the market indexes, while median stocks have fallen 16% from their highs. More unusually, Garrett, the head of derivatives trading at Goldman Sachs, warns that the bond volatility MOVE index is at an extremely high percentile, yet the VIX remains subdued. Jonathan Krinsky, a strategist at BTIG, points out that while total hedge fund leverage is rising, net leverage is falling, indicating a contradiction of "increasing exposure without increasing direction," and warns: "Something has to give."
Hyperliquid’s big test: Can institutional demand absorb $100M in whale selling?
