Bitcoin Market Enters Neutral Zone, On-Chain Data Shows
Bitcoin has come a long way from merely being a financial experiment to becoming an important store of value. Currently sitting at a six-figure valuation, the flagship cryptocurrency has amassed a horde of investors who actively profit from its directional movements.
Despite all its growth, Bitcoin’s price action still stands influenced by moments of frenzy, fear, and also caution in investors. At the moment, on-chain data points out that Bitcoin might be at a phase where caution is the order of things. Here are the details of this revelation.
90-Day CVD Shifts To Neutral After Prolonged Trends
In a June 27 post on X, the social media platform, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that there has been an important shift in an important metric. The relevant indicator here is the 90-day Futures Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) metric, which tracks the net buying or selling pressure in BTC’s futures market.
A positive and rising value of the metric usually means that the futures market is dominated by the buyers (Taker Buy Dominant). On the other hand, when the indicator is negative, it means that the futures market is being dominated by the short traders (Taker Sell Dominant).
Source: @JA_Maartunn on X
In the post on X, Maartunn pointed out that the current 90-day CVD is flat, which indicates a balance between bullish and bearish forces in the market. While the Bitcoin price might have shown good signs of recovery, this piece of on-chain data suggests that the market leader might return to a consolidation range.
Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index At Neutral Levels
In another June 27th post on X, crypto analytics firm Alphractal made an on-chain observation, which shares similar implications with Maartunn’s report. Alphractal’s revelation was based on the Bitcoin: Fear and Greed Index Heatmap metric, which tracks the market sentiment shift — from extreme fear to extreme greed — over time.
The metric ranges with values from 0 to 100. The range 0-24 signals extreme fear in the market; 25-49 reads as fear, while 50 is interpreted as a neutral level, where there’s a balance between both market sentiments. On the other side of the spectrum, ranges 51-74 signal greed in the market; 75-100 signifies extreme greed in the market, showing widespread optimism that often precedes market tops.
According to data from Alphractal, the Fear and Greed Index is at 65, which is still far from the +90 levels observed in November and December 2024. This balance between the buyers and sellers could suggest that the market could be awaiting a catalyst, like macro news or on-chain developments, to get a breakout to either side of the market.
Due to the current uncertainty, traders are advised to tread with caution in the market. As of press time, Bitcoin is valued at about $107,143, with the cryptocurrency losing approximately 0.11% in the past 24 hours.
The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like

Deutsche Bank: The "fifth wave of tech stock rally" in US stocks since late July has peaked, prepare for a "V-shaped reversal"
Deutsche Bank has downgraded its rating on US technology stocks from overweight to neutral, noting that the fifth round of tech stock rally since July 29 is approaching the upper boundary of the long-term trend channel. The current upside potential is only about 4 percentage points, while historical trends indicate downside risks could reach 16 percentage points. Funds are expected to rotate into other sectors, and the European market, with its lower tech exposure, is likely to benefit relatively. However, Deutsche Bank emphasized that the long-term outperformance trend of technology stocks remains unchanged.
How expensive is AI computing power rental in the US? "Spot price" is twice that of long-term contracts, and four times the return threshold for cloud service providers.
The short-term spot leasing price for AI computing power reaches as high as $40 to $50 billion per gigawatt per year, while the price for long-term contracts is only $20 billion per year, and the breakeven threshold for supercomputing cloud operators is around $12 billion per year. However, according to Goldman Sachs, the fundamental reason why hyperscale cloud providers like Google rent computing power at such significant premiums is that their in-house capacity cannot keep up; once their own capacity catches up, the spot premium will disappear.

‘More bullish on Bitcoin’ – Strategy leads 91% of corporate BTC buying
