Why Bitcoin’s Rally Towards All-Time High May Have More Room to Run
2025/07/02 22:52Bitcoin’s price has made a strong recovery over the past few days, surpassing the $108,000 mark and positioning itself closer to previous all-time highs.
Investors appear to be showing patience, with a focus on holding their positions, but the question remains: can Bitcoin’s price momentum sustain itself and break into new highs?
Bitcoin is Safe From Selling
Despite the positive price movement, realized profits have remained relatively subdued in recent weeks. Bitcoin’s current price sits just a stone’s throw from its all-time high, yet only $872 million in profits are being realized per day. This is a stark contrast to the $2.8 billion and $3.2 billion realized profits seen during previous price surges, such as at the $73,000 and $107,000 price points.
This muted profit-taking suggests that investors are not compelled to cash out at current levels. The market needs either a substantial rise or a decline to trigger a shift in sentiment, pushing investors to take more decisive actions regarding their holdings.
Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss. Source:
Glassnode
Furthermore, the market sentiment reflects a cautious approach from investors. The sell-side risk ratio, which tracks the number of short-term holders selling their Bitcoin, saw an uptick in May but has since decreased.
This indicates a reduction in the selling pressure, as Bitcoin’s price remains in a range that isn’t alluring enough for short-term holders to sell.
However, the fact that short-term holders are not quick to sell signals that Bitcoin’s current value is not compelling enough for them to exit. Should the price continue to rise, there’s potential for more investors to feel incentivized to hold or accumulate further, contributing to an overall positive market sentiment.
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Sell-Side Risk Ratio. Source:
Glassnode
BTC Price Aims At Further Rise
Bitcoin is trading at $108,948, very close to breaching the resistance of $109,476. This barrier marks the final hurdle before reaching the coveted $110,000 range. A clean break through this resistance would likely open the path for Bitcoin to test new highs, with $110,000 being the next significant milestone.
Sustaining the current momentum is essential for Bitcoin to surpass $110,000 and eventually flip it into support. If this occurs, the crypto king could steadily work its way to its all-time high of $111,980, which is less than 3% from the current price. However, it will require strong bullish momentum and investor confidence to maintain this upward trajectory.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source:
TradingView
If unforeseen circumstances lead to bearish macro cues, Bitcoin could face a potential drawdown. A rejection at $109,476 might pull the price back below $108,000, revisiting support at $105,585. Such a drop would invalidate the current bullish outlook and could signal a more extended consolidation phase for Bitcoin.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Micron now earns more than Apple! Apple urgently needs chips, Micron holds pricing power.
Micron Technology reported a net profit of $37.7 billion in the fourth fiscal quarter, surpassing Apple's $29.8 billion for the same period, thus becoming the more profitable company for the quarter. The memory shortage has given Micron strong pricing power, with its CEO stating that they “cannot meet customer demand.” The revenue guidance for next quarter is as high as $61.5 billion. Meanwhile, Apple's gross margin continues to be pressured by persistent memory costs, having dropped from 49.3% to a guidance range of 46.5%.
The "Eye of the Storm" in the Global Economy: Debt Crisis in Developed Countries
The IMF warns that developed economies are becoming the "eye of the storm" for global debt risks. Countries such as the United States and France accumulated high levels of debt during periods of low interest rates, but now rising interest rates are pushing up repayment costs, and fiscal consolidation faces political resistance. BofA Securities points out that the United States is facing declining tax revenues, France has structural income decline issues, and the UK and Japan are also under pressure. The deteriorating debt sustainability of developed countries may impact global financial markets through shocks in interest rates and capital flows.

The US market narrative undergoes a "dramatic reversal": shifting from "AI-driven deflation and controllable US debt" to "AI squeezing the bond market, and Bassen unable to control long-term interest rates"
Deutsche Bank points out that the market narrative regarding the U.S. economy has shifted from "AI drives down inflation" to "AI-related bond issuance pushes up U.S. Treasury yields," but pessimism may be overdone. The bank believes that the real risks underestimated by the market are security incidents in the AI ecosystem, failed IPOs, or underwhelming revenues, which could undermine the dollar and support the bond market. In addition, France's fiscal difficulties are putting new pressure on the euro.