Ethereum Extends Rally to $4,277, But Analysts Warn of Profit-Taking Risks
Ethereum climbed 1.7% to $4,277.78 on Monday, extending its recent winning streak but market opinions remain sharply divided on how long the momentum can last.
Ethereum climbed 1.7% to $4,277.78 on Monday, extending its recent winning streak but market opinions remain sharply divided on how long the momentum can last.
Bitcoin advocate Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3, cautioned that the rally may be short-lived. He argued that long-term Ether holders, particularly early ICO insiders, are rotating capital from Bitcoin into ETH to fuel price gains on the back of bullish narratives, such as the rise of Ethereum-based treasury companies. According to Mow, these investors will ultimately sell near the peak, creating “new generational bagholders” before moving profits back into Bitcoin.
Let me explain what’s happening with ETHBTC.
Most ETH holders have a lot of BTC (ICO/insiders) and they are rotating that BTC into ETH to pump it on new narratives (Ethereum Treasury co’s).
Once they’ve gotten it high enough, they’ll dump their ETH, creating new generational…
— Samson Mow (@Excellion) August 10, 2025
“No one wants ETH in the long run,”
Mow claimed, adding that the token could face stiff resistance near its previous all-time high due to what he calls the “Bagholder’s Dilemma” the tendency for rising prices to increase selling pressure.
Ethereum’s upswing has been supported by institutional inflows and corporate treasuries adding ETH to reserves. However, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has urged caution, warning that excessive leverage in ETH treasuries could trigger systemic risks.
“If you woke me up three years from now and told me that treasuries led to the downfall of ETH… my guess would be that somehow they turned it into an overleveraged game,”
he said.
Some market participants remain bullish. One prominent X user predicted ETH could breach $5,000 within six weeks, citing five key drivers: declining Bitcoin dominance, potential $10 billion inflows from spot ETH ETFs, Ethereum stablecoin settlements surpassing Visa’s payment volumes, expanding corporate layer-2 adoption driving “a new on-chain GDP,” and the migration of real-world assets like U.S. Treasuries onto Ethereum.
Still, the outlook is mixed. While optimism over Ethereum’s structural growth is strong, it is tempered by fears of leveraged speculation and looming profit-taking pressure. Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, noted that institutional investors are increasingly favouring Ethereum treasury companies over U.S. spot ETH ETFs, further shaping the market narrative.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Fed Voting Member Harker: Fighting Inflation Requires Faster, More Frequent Small Rate Adjustments, Be Vigilant Against Inflation Expectations Becoming Entrenched
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester believes that inflation pressures have spread beyond the energy sector, with AI investments and tariffs driving up costs. To prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched in the economy, she suggests that the Federal Reserve should consider smaller, quicker, and more frequent rate adjustments, rather than waiting for inflation pressures to accumulate and then taking larger actions. She did not explicitly support an interest rate hike in October, emphasizing policy transparency: explaining the response mechanism does not equate to committing to a specific rate path.
Will the US cancel 20-year Treasury bonds? BNP Paribas: It may trigger market panic; Citibank: Positioning 20-year bonds to outperform 10-year bonds
There are market rumors that the U.S. Treasury is considering cutting back or canceling the issuance of 20-year Treasury bonds, which were reinstated in 2020. The yield on 20-year bonds has long been higher than both 10-year and 30-year bonds, resulting in a "hump" in the yield curve and higher financing costs. The market is closely watching this Friday’s routine survey questionnaire, as well as whether a clear signal will be released in the quarterly refunding statement on November 4. Citi suggests positioning in advance, but BNP Paribas warns that such a move could be interpreted as a panic signal that policy tools have been exhausted.

Bitcoin price volatility accompanies a 6% drop as sentiment turns neutral
