The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September is 86.2%.

According to Jinse Finance, CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 13.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 86.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 6.7%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 49.1%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 44.2%.