iCapital: 10-year US Treasury yield expected to rise to 4.5% by 2026

According to ChainCatcher, as reported by Golden Ten Data, iCapital stated in an outlook report that it expects the yield on the US 10-year Treasury to trade within the 4% - 4.5% range in 2026, possibly reaching the upper limit in the second half of the year. The report pointed out that although yields are expected to fluctuate within this range, they could rise to 4.5% if the deficit outlook worsens. This move could put pressure on risk assets and capital market activities.