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The probability of the "U.S. government shutting down again before February 14" event on Polymarket has risen to 97%.

The probability of the "U.S. government shutting down again before February 14" event on Polymarket has risen to 97%.

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/02/13 02:50
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According to Odaily, data from the Polymarket website shows that the probability of the "U.S. government shutting down again before February 14" has risen to 97%, with trading volume approaching $3 million.

Previous reports indicated that the White House was making last-minute efforts to prevent a shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, submitting legislative text to the Democrats before the funding deadline. It is expected that the Democrats will reject the proposal, stating that previous proposals were "neither comprehensive nor sufficient."

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