Bitcoin 'done' with 85% crashes, says Cathie Wood amid new $34K target
Bitcoin (BTC) is “done” with drawdowns of 85% or more from all-time highs, says ARK Invest CEO, Cathie Wood.
Key points:
Bitcoin will not see another correction of 85% or more versus its latest all-time high, Cathie Wood argues.
A new prediction sees $34,000 becoming the next BTC price bottom.
Bitcoin bear-market seasonality hints that a reversal could come this month.
Wood on BTC price: No more 85% “collapses”
In an interview with CNBC’s Squawk Box segment on April 1, Wood stayed calm about double-digit BTC price losses.
“Believe it or not, in the Bitcoin community, down 50% — if that’s as far as it goes — they’ll consider that a real victory,” she said.
“Because you’re right; the 85-95% collapses associated with a very new technology — that’s done. This is a proven technology, it’s a proven monetary system and it’s a new asset class.”
Wood, a longtime Bitcoin bull, was speaking as Bitcoin circled its old $69,000 all-time highs from 2021.
Those preceded a year-long bear market in which BTC/USD lost nearly 80% before bottoming at $15,600. That marked the latest such correction, with bear markets typically bringing losses around the 80% mark.
Data from onchain analytics platform Glassnode shows that the current bear market has yet to match historical patterns with maximum downside versus Bitcoin’s $126,200 record from October 2025 at 52%.
BTC price drawdowns from all-time highs. Source: Glassnode
Responding to Wood, analyst Tony Severino predicted that 2026 would bring a price bottom equal to a 72% drawdown.
“Correct, -72% max drawdown next =$34,000,” he wrote on X.
That figure exceeds commonly held predictions by traders for where Bitcoin’s next generational floor will be. As reported, consensus favors the area between $40,000 and $50,000.
This week, however, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mike McGlone warned that price may already be trending toward seven-year lows.
Bitcoin historically rebounds in April
Continuing the bear-market comparison, data from network economist Timothy Peterson revealed that April could mark some form of inflection point for price.
Related: Bitcoin risks new lows as US dollar targets highest level since April 2025
A chart uploaded to X this week shows April typically being a recovery month during bearish phases.
Bitcoin bear-market price comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X
The March monthly close, meanwhile, ended a five-month losing streak for BTC/USD with modest gains of 1.8%.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
US Midterm Elections, How Does the Market View Today
The outcome of the US midterm elections, with the Democratic Party winning the House of Representatives, has already been priced in by the market. The real variable is the Senate—Democrats need a net gain of four seats. The most probable scenario, a "Democratic sweep," would actually be the least favorable for the stock market. Bank of America considers it a risk event that could cause a drop of over 10%. The first signal will be seen at 8:30 AM Beijing time on November 4th when the votes in Ohio are counted; votes from Texas, Michigan, Kansas, Iowa, and Nebraska will be revealed starting at 10 AM.
Crypto Sentiment Hits Extreme Lows as Open Interest Surges: 5 Altcoins to Accumulate Before the Market Turns
Not Following Intel's Footsteps! AMD's Q3 Revenue Surges 45% Beating Expectations, Data Center Revenue Nearly Doubles, Q4 Guidance Accelerates to a New High | Earnings Report Insights
Q3 AMD revenue increased by 15.5% from the record set in Q2, with EPS up 74% year-on-year; client revenue grew 7% year-on-year, below expectations, gaming revenue exceeded expectations but dropped 40% year-on-year, and embedded revenue surpassed expectations with a 29% increase. Free cash flow fell 64% to $550 million, far below expectations, mainly due to inventory climbing nearly fourfold to $3 billion. Q4 revenue guidance midpoint is up 66% year-on-year to $17 billion, $700 million higher than analyst expectations and nearly 10% higher than Intel’s guidance for the same period. The CEO stated that with the ramp-up of the Helios system and Venice CPU, growth is expected to accelerate further in Q4. After-hours stock price once surged nearly 10%.
Booking (BKNG.US) Q3 total bookings reach $54.5 billion, exceeding expectations; adjusted EPS increases by 17%. Q4 guidance turns cautious due to Middle East situation.
Booking Holdings (BKNG.US), the world's largest online travel company, released its Q3 2026 earnings after the US stock market closed on Tuesday. Total bookings, room nights, and adjusted profitability indicators all exceeded market expectations for the quarter, with adjusted earnings per share surging by 17%.
Crypto prices
More
