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Data: The probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady in April this year is 98% on Kalshi market bets

Data: The probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady in April this year is 98% on Kalshi market bets

ForesightNewsForesightNews2026/04/07 08:48
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Foresight News reports that the latest data from Kalshi shows the market is betting on a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in April this year, with a 2% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. The current trading volume in the prediction market exceeds 10 million US dollars.

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