Polymarket: Probability of Rory McIlroy winning the 2026 US Golf Masters rises to 70%, up 46% in 24 hours

Monitoring by Odaily Seer shows that the probability of “Rory McIlroy winning the 2026 Masters Tournament” on Polymarket has risen to 70%, a 46% increase in 24 hours. To date, the total trading volume for the “2026 Masters Tournament Winner” event contract has exceeded $107 million.

The rules for this event contract are as follows: Settlement will be based on the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If a player is eliminated according to the official event rules, the related market will be settled as “No”. In the case of a tie, settlement will follow the champion determined by the Masters Tournament’s official rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, the outcome will be settled as “Other”. The primary sources for settlement are the official results published on the PGA Tour and Masters Tournament websites; other reliable consensus reports may also be referenced.

The 90th Masters Tournament started this week at Augusta National Golf Club. Defending champion Rory McIlroy shot a 67 to tie with American player Sam Burns for the lead after the first round. Chinese player Li Haotong shot a 71, tying for 10th place. After Day One, Australian player Jason Day, American-Japanese player Kurt Kitayama, and 2018 Masters Tournament champion Patrick Reed all finished at 69, tied for third place.

Odaily Seer continues to closely follow prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.