Market Strategist Shares Major With XRP Holders

Levi Rietveld issued a strongly worded post on X questioning whether XRP is “restarting.” However, his accompanying video focused less on immediate price action and more on the general economic environment shaping market expectations. His commentary centered on interest rate policy and how it could influence liquidity conditions that typically affect digital assets.

In the video attached to his post, Rietveld directed attention to betting data from Polymarket, using it as a gauge for market sentiment regarding upcoming decisions by the Federal Reserve.

He explained that current probabilities do not favor aggressive monetary easing, which some investors believe would support upward price movement in assets like XRP.

WTF!?! #XRP IS RESTARTING!?! (MAJOR NEWS)

— Levi | Crypto Crusaders (@LeviRietveld) April 10, 2026

Data Points Suggest Continued Policy Pause

Rietveld cited specific probabilities from Polymarket to support his position. He stated that expectations for no change in interest rates remain dominant across multiple timeframes.

According to his breakdown, the likelihood of no change in June stands at 88 percent, while July shows an 80 percent probability of rates remaining unchanged. He further noted that from January through April, projections overwhelmingly suggest a pause, with a 98% likelihood.

He emphasized that these figures point to a consistent pattern rather than a temporary stance. In his words, the outlook reflects a prolonged period of policy stability rather than a shift toward stimulus-driven conditions. This, he suggested, reduces the likelihood of a macroeconomic environment that would typically accelerate price increases in XRP.

Inflation Risks Shape Federal Reserve Caution

Rietveld attributed this cautious stance to concerns about inflation and external geopolitical factors. He argued that the Federal Reserve is deliberately avoiding premature rate cuts to prevent destabilizing the economy. According to his explanation, lowering rates under current conditions could create unintended consequences, particularly if global tensions persist.

He mentioned the conflict in the Middle East as a contributing factor, stating that extended instability could keep oil prices elevated above $100 per barrel. In such a scenario, he warned that inflationary pressures could intensify significantly. He presented a hypothetical outcome in which consumer costs, including groceries, could rise sharply within a short period.

Rietveld stressed that policymakers are unlikely to take actions that could trigger such outcomes. He maintained that the Federal Reserve’s priority remains preventing a policy mistake that could lead to widespread economic strain.

Implications for XRP and Market Expectations

While his post referenced XRP directly, Rietveld’s analysis primarily addressed the conditions that influence liquidity and investor behavior. He suggested that without a pivot toward rate cuts or stimulus, expectations for rapid price appreciation may need to be reassessed.

His remarks indicate that macroeconomic factors continue to play a central role in shaping sentiment around digital assets. By focusing on interest rate projections and inflation risks, Rietveld presented a perspective that links XRP’s potential trajectory to decisions made outside the crypto market itself.

According to his analysis, the combination of high probabilities for policy pauses and ongoing global uncertainties supports a more restrained outlook in the near term.