Trump issues final ultimatum; countdown to the peace window sees US military on standby, pushing up the war premium

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汇通财经2026/04/21 13:33

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On Tuesday, Trump made it clear that due to uncertainties remaining in the final stage of peace talks, if a deal with Iran cannot be reached in the short term, the United States will resume attacks against Iran.
Trump, in a highly deterrent tone, stated that bombings are expected to be launched and emphasized that the US military is ready and eager to take action.
These remarks signal that the boundary between diplomatic maneuvering and military deterrence is narrowing sharply. At this sensitive moment while talks continue in Islamabad, the president personally setting a timetable for force sends the strongest signal to the markets that the ceasefire agreement may collapse at any time.
On the trading front, caution is necessary as risk assets related to the Strait of Hormuz will be re-priced with a higher war premium. Any delay in negotiations or negative rumors could trigger sharp, sudden surges in oil prices and a new round of inflows into safe-haven assets.

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Trump issues final ultimatum; countdown to the peace window sees US military on standby, pushing up the war premium

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