The probability of "US-Iran diplomatic meeting before April 30" on Polymarket is currently 52%, up 6% in the short term.

According to Polymarket data, the probability of a "diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran before April 30" is currently 52%, a short-term increase of 6%.

According to New Delhi Television, sources say the second round of talks between Iran and the United States is scheduled for April 27.

According to market rules, if representatives from the United States and Iran hold an official diplomatic meeting before 11:59 PM ET on April 30, the market will resolve as "Yes." A diplomatic meeting is defined as a formal meeting attended by authorized representatives from both sides in their official capacity, including indirect face-to-face meetings through a mediator, but excluding brief greetings or encounters not intended for diplomatic purposes. The meeting must be in-person and either officially recognized by the government or reported by reliable media outlets.