The spillover effect of the Middle East conflict has now extended to the real economy in the United States.
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Its spillover effects have now been transmitted to the real economy, affecting prices in the United States, production costs, and the daily lives of the population. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that, primarily driven by rising energy prices, the inflation rate in March rose to 3.3%, reaching a new two-year high. The International Monetary Fund currently forecasts that U.S. inflation will be 3.2% this year, higher than the pre-conflict expectation of approximately 2.5%. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development further raised its forecast, revising the annual inflation expectation for the United States from 2.8% to 4.2%. According to data from the American Automobile Association, gasoline prices rose from $2.98 per gallon at the end of February to approximately $4.09 per gallon on April 25. The impact is not limited to the fuel sector. Jet fuel prices have nearly doubled, pushing up airline operating costs and leading to increased air ticket prices.
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