Predict.fun launches "When will Polymarket release its official token", with the probability of launching before June 30 currently reported at 9%

Odaily reported that the prediction market Predict.fun has launched a new event: "When will Polymarket launch its official token?" The current trading volume is 546,800 US dollars. Currently, the probability that Polymarket will launch its official token before June 30, 2027 is 88%; before March 31, 2027 is 77%; before December 31, 2026 is 55%; before September 30, 2026 is 39%; and before June 30, 2026 is 9%.

The settlement rules for this event are: If Polymarket officially launches its official token before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on the date indicated in the title, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Even if the token launched by Polymarket initially does not have utility or is not explicitly labeled as a "governance" token, as long as it is promoted and presented as the official token of the Polymarket product, it will be considered.

The token must be publicly and actively transferable and tradable. Merely releasing an announcement does not qualify. Tokens that are only available for claiming also do not qualify.

ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens used to represent CTF shares or other positions in the product’s internal market, as well as any collateral tokens pegged to the US dollar, do not count toward settlement.

The source must be an official statement from Polymarket (including blog posts, social media channels, or documentation). If necessary, credible third-party reports may also be referenced.

According to a previous report, Polymarket official team member Mustafa (@mustafap0ly) hinted during a community interaction today that progress related to the POLY token may come soon.