1 new account staked $19,800 in the "Will US and Iran Reach a Permanent Peace Agreement by July" market, answering "Yes."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has invested $19,800 in the outcome "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement by July?" with an average buy probability of 33.2%. The current probability of "Yes" is 38.5%.

Today, oil prices continued to fall as Trump indicated progress towards a "comprehensive and final agreement" with Iran, which is seen as crucial for resuming oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz. The market is therefore reevaluating the supply risks in the Middle East.

Trump's suspension of escort operations has been described by multiple media outlets as a "confidence-building measure" aimed at facilitating the final agreement, while emphasizing that the suspension was a decision made after progress in the negotiations.

Account:
0x971c0ec2bb61da6a78692a42fc1811cb2cca4887.