Wall Street warns that US stocks may face "inflation repricing," as high oil prices and surging US Treasury yields increase market risks.
BlockBeats reported that on May 18, as the US stock market continued to remain at high levels, Wall Street institutions began warning that the market may be underestimating inflation and interest rate risks. Recently, the 30-year US Treasury yield broke above 5%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 4.5%, raising concerns that the valuation of risk assets may come under pressure.
According to analysts, since the escalation of the conflict between the US and Iran, international oil prices have consistently remained above $100 per barrel, and the potential for a prolonged blockage of the Strait of Hormuz is intensifying market worries about a new round of inflation. Capital Economics has warned that the market has not yet fully priced in the extreme scenario of a long-term closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Although the AI investment boom and strong corporate earnings reports still support US stock market performance, some institutions believe that the current S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio has reached 21.3 times, significantly higher than the long-term average. As the bond market takes the lead in repricing inflation, the stock market may face dual pressures from valuation and liquidity.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like

Jefferies raises Tesla's target price to $400
Goldman Sachs (GS.US) stock plunges 22% into bear market, financial report becomes the key to a breakthrough
Goldman Sachs' market value evaporated by several billions, with its share price down more than 22% from the year's high. Despite Q3 revenue exceeding expectations, a 41% drop in M&A activity and a slowdown in IPOs have dampened market sentiment. Analysts project a 12% revenue increase in Q4, but technical indicators suggest there is further downside risk to $783. Rumors about management transitions have also drawn attention.
Delivery soared by 85% but failed to prevent the death cross; Rivian (RIVN.US) dilution risk sparks panic
Despite the R2 model driving an 85% year-on-year increase in deliveries, Rivian's stock price continues to decline due to technical death cross, high short interest, and risks of equity dilution, facing a severe market test.
