After SpaceX IPO, it is likely to be quickly included in major indexes such as QQQ and VTI, with Nasdaq 100 index weighting possibly reaching 0.47-0.7%.
Odaily reports that SpaceX is about to launch its IPO, with an expected fundraising scale of $50 billion to $75 billion and a corresponding valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, potentially becoming the largest IPO in history. Analysts note that SpaceX's extremely high valuation means it may quickly enter mainstream indices and ETFs after listing, and the speed of passive fund allocation could far exceed previous large IPOs.
According to current rules and potential reforms:
1. The CRSP indices tracked by Vanguard VTI and growth stock ETF VUG may include SpaceX as early as 5 trading days after the listing;
2. The Nasdaq 100 index tracked by QQQ could include it as early as 15 trading days after the IPO;
3. Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 Growth indices are expected to include SpaceX as early as September and December of this year;
4. The S&P 500 index tracked by SPY could include SpaceX in 2027 after a rule change.
It is expected that SpaceX's weight in the Nasdaq 100 could reach 0.47%-0.70%, which is higher than its share in most float-weighted indices. Analysis points out that, as the lock-up period ends and more internal shareholders sell shares, SpaceX's floating shares may increase in the future, further raising its weight in mainstream indices. However, SpaceX's current major issue is its "float" being relatively low. Based on the current financing structure, its proportion of publicly traded shares is only about 2.86%-3.75%, far below the average of over 80% for most large U.S. tech companies. This will impact its weight in indices using a "float-weighted market capitalization" mechanism. (BusinessInsider)
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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