1 smart money bet $48,100 that the valuation of Anthropic would reach $1.75 trillion by December 31st.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a wise money bet on "Will Anthropic's valuation reach (HIGH) $1.75 trillion by December 31st?" with $48,100 "Yes," with an average buy-in probability of 44.2%, and the current "Yes" probability is 61.5%.
Address 0x8a4c788f bet $48,100, with the top related category in this market being Financials, with a net profit of $62,900. The user has a 100% win rate in this category with 9 settled trades, out of which 1 trade had a buy price below $0.8 and a sell price above $0.95.
The market rules stipulate referencing the Nasdaq Private Market's NPM Price: settlement will be "Yes" if Anthropic achieves or exceeds a private valuation of $1.75T on any trading day within the year. If the company IPOs or direct lists before year-end, the IPO pricing and post-listing market cap will also be considered.
On May 20th, Reuters reported that Anthropic disclosed a possibility of Q2 revenue reaching $10.9 billion, up from Q1's $4.8 billion, with a projected operating profit of about $559 million for the first time; the report also mentioned that Anthropic is set to pay SpaceX a monthly $1.25 billion computing fee until May 2029.
The current public perception widely indicates that Anthropic's growth narrative has shifted from a "burn-rate model company" to "high revenue growth, strong enterprise clients, and compute bottleneck resolvable by capital." Analysts believe that if a new financing round of around $90 billion lands by the end of May or in June, the NPM or other private prices may continue to reference scarce equity transactions, IPO expectations, and secondary market markup.
Note: Based on their historical trading behavior, the trader is not necessarily betting on the outcome of events but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions at certain points after opening a position.
Account:
0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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