XRP price surges 3.5 percent to $1.36 with $1.11 key

Technical analysis and major levels

Technical analyst ChartNerdTA observes that, on XRP’s two-week chart, the price has once again touched the lower regression band—mirroring behavior seen in previous market cycles. For 2026, ChartNerdTA forecasts the lower band is likely to stand near $1.00. However, a clear signal for a prolonged bearish trend has yet to emerge, suggesting the current patterns reflect structures seen in earlier markets.

ChartNerdTA emphasizes that every bear phase on XRP’s two-week chart has seen tests of the lower regression band, estimated to stand near $1.00 in 2026, but notes that a full trend reversal has not yet played out in this cycle.

Market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, who has been monitoring XRP’s technical structure since April, maintains a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency. EGRAG warns that short-term price swings can mislead investors, stressing that the bigger picture—specifically the main support and resistance zones—is far more important. Currently, XRP is trading within a formation known as a “broadening descending wedge,” which often sets the stage for high volatility and a potential shift in direction as the price loses momentum.

Glossary: Broadening descending wedge — a technical analysis pattern where the price fluctuates within an increasingly wide range marked by lower lows and higher highs, often signaling sharp price moves and the potential for an upcoming trend breakout.

Critical support and resistance scenarios

EGRAG CRYPTO identifies $1.11 as the most important support level for XRP. Should the price drop below this threshold, a more severe correction could follow. On the resistance side, the $2.65 to $3.00 region is highlighted as a major hurdle. If XRP can close weekly or monthly sessions above $3.00, it could signal a significant shift in overall market sentiment.

Derivatives data and market structure

The size of open interest in the derivatives market has increased by 0.49 percent to $2.85 billion, but overall trading volume has dropped sharply by 33.17 percent, landing at $2.37 billion. This signals that investors are less eager to open new positions but continue to hold their existing ones. The open interest-weighted funding rate sits at 0.0032 percent, indicating a relatively balanced market environment.

According to market observers, the defining factor for XRP will be major structural levels rather than short-term price swings, with the $1.11 support being especially crucial. A move above $3.00 could spark new momentum.

Recently, the analyst BankXRP commented that the sudden drop to $1.3080 may have been a liquidity sweep designed to flush out weak hands. Meanwhile, another analyst, CW, suggests that if selling persists, further declines towards $1.30 are possible.

Some long-term forecasters predict that a breakout above the broadening descending wedge could see XRP targeting the $7 to $11 range. However, they caution that such scenarios are only plausible with significantly stronger market conditions. For now, XRP is making efforts to remain above its main support zone.