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Institutions: South Korea bond market has priced in excessive rate hike expectations, creating a buying opportunity for short-term bonds

Institutions: South Korea bond market has priced in excessive rate hike expectations, creating a buying opportunity for short-term bonds

金十金十2026/05/25 22:49
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Golden Ten Data reported on May 26 that NH Amundi Asset Management stated the South Korean bond market has priced in excessive central bank rate hike expectations, creating buying opportunities for short-term bonds. Executive Director Han Soo-il said in an interview that one- to two-year government bonds are “cheap” at current levels, noting the swap market has unrealistically priced in multiple 25 basis point rate hikes by the first half of 2027. “It is extremely unusual for the market to price in four to five hikes before the hike cycle has even begun,” Han Soo-il said. Looking ahead to the next policy meeting, Han Soo-il stated that the key focus will be the Bank of Korea’s forecast for 2027 GDP, to assess the sustainability of the artificial intelligence chip rally, rather than its short-term outlook for this year. He expects the central bank to forecast 1.9% economic growth for 2027, implement one rate hike in July, and then remain on hold for an extended period.
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