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How to plan for the "post-war market"? Goldman Sachs identifies three main directions

How to plan for the "post-war market"? Goldman Sachs identifies three main directions

格隆汇格隆汇2026/05/26 01:46
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Glonghui, May 26th | Louis Miller, Head of Global Custom Basket Trading at Goldman Sachs, pointed out that investors are showing a stronger desire for diversification, and the contours of the “post-war trade” are gradually taking shape. According to statistics from Goldman Sachs’ Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) and equity trading departments, the momentum strategy pullback that occurred last Friday has become the largest continuous decline since 2022. Regarding the "post-war trade", Miller proposed three straightforward trading directions: First, betting on a rebound in low-momentum stocks. Currently, market funds are overly concentrated in AI and other popular momentum stocks. Once war risks subside and capital rotation begins, previously neglected low-momentum stocks may see a strong rebound, potentially even triggering a short squeeze. For consumer stocks, he suggests using options layouts, as the cost is low but, should the market turn strong, the potential reward could be substantial.Second, going long on gold and bearish on crude oil. As post-war geopolitical risks ease, oil prices might be pressured downward, but gold could still attract capital. With the US dollar possibly weakening, gold remains relatively favorable.Third, utilizing both equity and bond hedges. If the AI boom cools, US stocks may retreat, and the market might start to anticipate an economic slowdown, leading to a decline in government bond yields. Therefore, one can allocate for both falling equities and rising bonds. He also emphasized that the market is currently concerned about inflation, so the cost of hedging economic recession risks is actually not high.
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路透社•2026/10/09 13:19
Interpretation - What is the low-frequency spectrum obtained by SpaceX for Starlink Mobile?