April PCE Preview: Inflation May Reach a Nearly Three-Year High, Federal Reserve Could Return to Hawkish Stance

金色财经2026/05/28 06:37

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```htmlJinse Finance reports that at 20:30 (East Eight Zone) on Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the April Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index report. This “scorecard” for inflation, most valued by the Federal Reserve, is highly likely to show that inflationary pressures have not only persisted but are spreading to broader sectors. The market generally expects that the year-on-year increase in April PCE will climb to 3.8%, higher than the previous value of 3.5% and setting a new high since June 2023. Even excluding the more volatile food and energy components, the core PCE annual rate is also predicted to slightly rise to 3.3%. The monthly rate of the April PCE Price Index may record 0.5%, slowing down from the previous value of 0.7%; after excluding food and energy, the monthly rate for core PCE may be 0.3%, remaining unchanged from the previous figure.Last month’s report showed that energy prices were the “vanguard” of this round of rebound—gasoline and energy product prices surged by nearly 21% month-on-month in March, and this impact is still ongoing. What concerns economists more is the “infectiousness” of inflation. Latest signs suggest inflation is now spreading from the energy sector to services and durable goods:Food and logistics: Driven by upstream fertilizer and logistics costs, food prices saw a marked increase in April;Travel costs: Pressure from aviation fuel prices forced airlines to raise ticket prices, and inflation in airline services has risen for two consecutive months;AI premium: A new variable worth noting is the explosion in AI demand. Demand for computing power has led to a global shortage of storage chips, which in turn has pushed up terminal prices of PCs and related hardware, contributing further momentum to inflation persistence.```

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The third-quarter profit growth of medical device companies is expected to be only 4.8%, but it is projected to accelerate to 13% in the first quarter of next year, marking the strongest performance in over two years. However, policy uncertainties and product recalls have dampened confidence, and the market is awaiting a recovery by 2027.

智通财经•2026/10/09 12:23

BUZZ—US Stock Market Dynamics: SpaceX, Humana, Delta Air Lines

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路透社•2026/10/09 12:08

BlackRock trims TAG Immobilien voting rights to 6.68% from 6.81%

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Bitget•2026/10/09 12:07