Crypto Market Recovery or Crash as $7.5B Bitcoin, ETH, XRP Options to Expire Today?

AI infrastructure development and government fiscal deficits are both competing for the world's limited capital. The five largest AI data center operators in the US have issued about $220 billion in bonds so far this year, while the US fiscal deficit has surpassed $1.99 trillion. The combined massive financing demand from these two sectors is driving a systemic rise in global capital costs. The financing costs for lower-rated borrowers are approaching double digits, and the credit market is beginning to stratify in terms of allocation. European bank stocks have plummeted, and French assets are also being repriced. This "great capital tightening" may first impact capital markets, and subsequently deal a severe blow to the real economy.

JPMorgan believes that aerospace and defense companies are about to face a challenging third-quarter earnings season.