Bank of America Warning: Current Market Exhibiting Late-Stage Bubble Characteristics, Suggests Defensive Allocation Strategy
BlockBeats News, May 29th. Bank of America pointed out that the current market is still in a "severely bullish" range, exhibiting typical late-stage bubble characteristics. Although its core contrarian indicator, the "Bull/Bear Indicator," has dropped to 9.4, the sell signal for risk assets issued in December last year is still valid. Bank of America stated that funds are flowing from technology FAANG stocks, Bitcoin, and other "AI worship" assets to sectors benefiting from the real economy recovery, such as silver, industrial metals, regional banks, and small-cap value stocks. It warned that once AI cloud service giants announce a cut in capital expenditure, it could become a significant catalyst for a market style rotation.
The report suggests that investors adopt a more defensive asset allocation strategy in 2026, favoring long-duration US Treasury bonds as a risk hedge tool. At the same time, it believes that as the market focus shifts from large-cap growth stocks to real economy-related assets, small-cap value stocks and emerging market stocks are expected to take over from large-cap tech stocks and become the primary beneficiaries of the next long-term bull market. In addition, Bank of America pointed out that "buy everything except the dollar" is becoming the new market theme, with increased AI demand for commodities potentially further benefiting emerging market assets.
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On October 9, Morningstar predicted that the revenue of Australian oil and gas producer Woodside Energy (WDS.AX) will grow by over 30% by 2030, outpacing any of its international peers. Woodside Energy’s share price dropped by 0.6% on the day to 32.12 AUD, after surging 2.6% in the previous trading session. The stock is poised to end a three-week losing streak, with oil prices rising due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, and is set for a 2.8% weekly gain O/R. Morningstar expects Woodside’s revenue to increase as major new projects come online, and forecasts free cash flow to exceed 7 billion USD after 2030, reflecting a 300% rise from 2025. The report added that market sentiment remains bearish, with the current share price below its estimated fair value of 44.00 AUD. Year-to-date, Woodside’s share price has risen 36.2%, while Santos shares are up 41.3%. (For the convenience of non-English speakers, Reuters has automated the translation of its reports into several languages. Since automated translations may be inaccurate or lack required context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of automated translation texts and provides them solely for the convenience of readers. Reuters accepts no liability for any loss or damage arising from your use of automated translation functions.)
