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Copper concentrate TC hits five-year low as US-Iran negotiation signals cause disturbances; copper prices remain volatile at high levels with the existing pattern difficult to break.

Copper concentrate TC hits five-year low as US-Iran negotiation signals cause disturbances; copper prices remain volatile at high levels with the existing pattern difficult to break.

汇通财经汇通财经2026/06/02 09:56
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(1) A research report by Foshan Financial Holdings Futures on June 2 indicates that the copper concentrate shortage continues to intensify, and copper concentrate TC remains at the lowest level for the same period in nearly five years. The price difference between refined and scrap copper fluctuates but is still higher than previous years, and demand for refined copper rods continues to be under pressure. (2) On the fundamentals side, the supply shortage of copper concentrate keeps intensifying, US copper inventories continue to accumulate, downstream demand expectations are relatively strong, and copper prices are well-supported. The COMEX-LME spread has been widening recently, with LME warehouse warrants continuously flowing into the US. (3) Trump's tariff remarks still maintain the Section 232 tariffs on copper, and US copper inventories may continue the current accumulation pace. Combined with renewed negotiation signals between the US and Iran during the day, copper prices have been relatively strong and volatile intraday. (4) In the medium term, the US-Iran conflict keeps oil prices high, US inflation data remains difficult to decline, and the potential risk of a Fed rate hike continues. At the same time, the logic of raw material supply shortage will persist, and copper prices may remain at high levels with wide fluctuations overall.
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