USD/CNH Price Forecast: More downside likely below 6.7500
The USD/CNH pair trades slightly lower to near 6.7750 during the early European trading session on Wednesday. The pair faces selling pressure due to continued outperformance by the Chinese Yuan (CNY), being a trade surplus economy.
On Tuesday, China’s Trade Balance data for May also came in stronger than projected. Trade Balance arrived at $105.43 Billion, higher than the $92.1 Billion estimate and the previous reading of $84.82 Billion. Imports grew strongly by 27.4%, while they were anticipated to rise moderately by 25% vs. the prior release of 25.3%. While Exports rose 19.4% against expectations of 15% and the previous release of 14.1%.
Meanwhile, China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May has remained steady at an annualized pace of 1.2%, while it was expected to grow at a faster pace of 1.3%.
At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.12% lower to near 99.87 ahead of the United States (US) CPI data for May, which will be published at 12:30 GMT. The US headline inflation is expected to come in higher at 4.2% Year-on-Year (YoY) from 3.8% in April.
USD/CNH technical analysis
USD/CNH trades lower at around 6.7763, extending the downside bias as spot holds below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 6.7867. The pair trading below this short-term average suggests sellers retain control, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 42 stays below the neutral 50 line, hinting at lingering bearish momentum rather than an oversold condition.
On the topside, immediate resistance is now aligned with the 20-day EMA at 6.7867, and a daily close above this barrier would be needed to ease current downside pressure and open the way for a more sustained recovery. On the downside, the pair could slide further towards 6.7500 if it falls below the June 2 low at 6.7580.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
The Euro gives back its bounce as French bonds sell off again
Litecoin price falls 4% to $66 as derivatives activity spikes
Federal Reserve meeting minutes turn "hawkish"! Most officials support another rate hike this year, US dollar continues to rise
The latest minutes released by the Federal Reserve show that all 19 officials support a rate hike in September, and most participants believe that further interest rate increases may still be needed before the end of the year.
High yields on US Treasuries start attracting buyers; $39 billion 10-year Treasury auction sees strong demand as long-end yields give back gains
U.S. Treasury bonds showed mixed performance on Wednesday after a $39 billion 10-year Treasury auction saw strong demand, indicating that as yields reach multi-decade highs, some major investors are starting to re-enter the market.
Crypto prices
More
