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Capital Economics: Federal Reserve Expected to Hold Rates Steady This Week, Watch Out for Hawkish Risks in Waller’s Debut

Capital Economics: Federal Reserve Expected to Hold Rates Steady This Week, Watch Out for Hawkish Risks in Waller’s Debut

金十金十2026/06/16 10:32
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```htmlGolden Ten Data reported on June 16 that Capital Economics believes it's almost certain the Federal Reserve will hold its policy stance unchanged this week. Stephen Brown, the institution's North American Chief Economist, speculates that Waller will not present his own interest rate forecast but will still be asked about his views at the press conference. Brown stated, "The risk for the market is that Waller's remarks may be more hawkish than expected—either due to communication missteps or simply because his current position is less dovish than it was during his bid for the Trump presidential nomination." However, Brown also warned that if Waller feels constrained by Trump, an overly obvious dovish tone could reignite concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence and potentially push up long-end bond yields. Brown noted that there is a significant likelihood of two 'insurance' rate hikes taking place in December and early next year.```
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