The US 5-year/30-year Treasury yield spread rises again to 79 basis points, with the 80 level forming a key resistance.
- The spread between the 5-year and 30-year US Treasury yields climbed again to 79 basis points on Wednesday before pulling back, with key resistance at the 79.5 and 80 basis point levels continuing to exert valid pressure.
- This spread dropped to a recent low of 73 basis points on June 11, with the bottom support level formed in June around 70 basis points. The current rebound is testing these key resistance areas above.
- This week, the 5-year yield formed a double-bottom low at 4.14%, with the previous low at 4.12% on May 29; the 30-year yield fell intraday to 4.92%, after reaching a low of 4.91% on May 7, and there is a dense trading range near 4.90%.
- The market is maintaining a wait-and-see stance ahead of the Federal Reserve decision. The spread’s movement is restricted by policy uncertainty—if it breaks through 80 basis points, it may trigger stop-loss buy orders, but the wording of the decision will determine the subsequent direction.
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