Morgan Stanley: If the Strait of Hormuz reopens, European bank stocks are expected to rebound

格隆汇2026/06/17 13:47

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Glonghui, June 17 | According to a report by Morgan Stanley analysts, if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, by the end of this year, European banks’ stock market valuations should rise to 11 to 12 times their earnings. The growth of loan volumes will outpace current expectations, while the increase in bank fees will also exceed Morgan Stanley analysts’ forecasts. Morgan Stanley analysts said that the profits generated by European banks are comparable to levels before the financial crisis, even though valuations have yet to catch up. Morgan Stanley analysts pointed out that investors favor growth, so risk-chasing market rebounds will bring the greatest returns to investment banks such as Deutsche Bank and Société Générale. They stated that although AI may intensify deposit competition among banks, the technology’s broader pro-growth benefits will outweigh any impact on profit margin compression. A European banking index rose by 1.4%.

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01:09 PM EDT, 10/06/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Broad Market Indicators Broad-market exchange-traded fund IWM fell and IVV edged higher. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) added 0.7%. US equity indexes rose as big-tech names helped the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite hit fresh all-time highs intraday amid declining government bond yields and crude oil. Energy IShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) were each up about 0.8%. Technology The State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) gained 0.8%; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) added 0.7%, and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was 0.8% higher. The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) climbed 1.4%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) rose 0.6%. Financial The State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) added 0.2%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) advanced 0.5%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), declined 0.4%. Commodities Crude oil rose 0.2%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) added 0.3%. Natural gas gained 1.3%, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was up 1.2%. Gold on Comex gained 0.7%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was up 0.4%. Silver rose 0.5%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) gained 0.3%. Consumer The State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) was 1% higher, and the Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) rose 1.1%. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) added 1.1%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was up 1%, and the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) edged up 0.3%. Healthcare The State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) slipped 0.1%, while iShares US Healthcare (IYH) shed 0.2%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) fell 0.4%. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) declined 2.1%. Industrial The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) added 1.2%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) rose 1.1%, and iShares US Industrials (IYJ) gained 1.1%. Cryptocurrency In midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) shed

MT newswire•2026/10/06 17:09