Institution: Yen Intervention May Accompany Rate Hike
On July 3, Aninda Mitra from BNY Mellon Investment Management stated that yen intervention measures may be accompanied by an unexpected rate hike at some point this year. "I believe the market is underestimating the probability of a rate hike occurring before the December meeting, or the chance of multiple hikes this year," he said. Several Bank of Japan officials have mentioned that core inflation may soon rise again, suggesting that the central bank has some leeway to respond more forcefully in accelerating tightening measures based on inflation. This mispricing poses a risk of a sudden and painful shift in the dollar-yen dynamic. Ultimately, policy measures depend on how the Bank of Japan weighs their impact on the stock market, household balance sheets, and more. Currently, corporate sentiment and consumer confidence appear to be in good condition.
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