Japanese Yen: Near historic lows against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight the Japanese Yen (JPY) as the best-performing G10 currency on the day, though gains versus the US Dollar (USD) are marginal. Wage data disappointed but remains historically elevated, while USD/JPY trades just below its highest level since 1986 around 162.80. The RSI has eased from overbought territory but stays firmly bullish near 60, underscoring still-strong upside momentum.
Yen stabilizes but trend still strong
"The yen is outperforming all of the G10 currencies into Tuesday’s NA session, despite its marginal 0.1% gain vs. the USD."
"The stabilization is welcome following Monday’s decline that had had almost fully retraced last week’s (allegedly intervention-driven) rally."
"Labor cash earnings (wage) data released overnight disappointed relative to expectations while remaining elevated at the upper end of their multi-decade range."
"USD/JPY is equally elevated, trading just below its July 1 high just above 162.80—its highest level since 1986."
"In terms of technicals, the RSI is well off last week’s overbought (70+) peak but still firmly in bullish territory around 60."
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Despite falling oil prices and dovish comments from Fed officials, US Treasury yields continue to rise
The wave of US Treasury sell-offs continues to spread, with the 30-year yield reaching a 24-year high of 5.621% and the 10-year yield rising to its highest level since 2002—oil price declines and dovish signals have both failed, and long-term rates remain unaffected. High yields are reshaping the structure of US equities; as the AI narrative becomes the market’s final pillar, any cracks could trigger a chain reaction of turbulence.
Morgan Stanley trading desk, dubbed the "most accurate in the past two years," turns bullish
The supporting logic encompasses five major pillars: unexpected macro trends, consumer resilience, low profit expectations, stabilized yields, and technical improvements. Since the previous shift on August 31, the Nasdaq 100 long and Russell 2000 short paired trades have accumulated gains of over 8%. This latest "bullish reversal" is even more convincing. Strategically, technology remains the core long position, but the hedging tool has shifted from shorting RTY to derivatives. Meanwhile, the risk of long-term interest rate hikes still persists.

Four major favorable factors emerge, international oil prices respond by falling
