Mizuho Securities downgrades Circle to underperform and lowers target price to $50

According to Bloomberg, Mizuho Securities analyst Dan Dolev has downgraded Circle from neutral to underperform, lowering its price target to $50, below the analyst average price target of $123. Dan Dolev believes Circle faces increased risk from intensifying stablecoin competition, with new projects such as OUSD potentially adding to Circle's pricing and profit margin pressures. Dan Dolev estimates Circle's adjusted EBITDA in 2027 to be $699 million, lower than the market consensus of $907 million. Circle's USDC distribution agreement with a certain exchange will be renegotiated in August.