Morgan Stanley Prefers Hyperscale Cloud Companies Over Chip Firms in Coming Months
On July 21, the Morgan Stanley strategy team led by Mike Wilson stated that after a 20% correction in the semiconductor industry, broader sectors could drive further market gains. "On the contrary, we believe the trend of market diffusion will persist, and once this correction ends, a wider range of sectors will push the market higher by year-end," said Morgan Stanley. The firm believes that consumer discretionary and transportation sectors may benefit, as expectations for earnings improvement in these areas have not yet been fully reflected in stock prices. In the coming months, the firm prefers hyperscale cloud companies over chip firms. However, Wilson's team noted that with cloud stocks having already risen about 30% relative to chip stocks over the past three weeks, the risk-reward ratio has declined. Morgan Stanley remains bullish on large tech companies, citing advantages such as stable core businesses, potential for agentic AI development, and ability to improve profit margins. The institution maintains its S&P 500 year-end target of 8,000 points, but warns that if momentum trading reverses or the Middle East conflict escalates further, the index could fall back to around 7,000 points.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
CNY: How to resolve the dilemma between bulls and bears?
Rare in 25 years! The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses the S&P 500 earnings yield
The 10-year US Treasury yield has surpassed 5%, making bonds more attractive relative to stocks than at any point in the past 25 years. The earnings yield of stocks, as measured by the inverse of the S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio, is now lower than the 10-year US Treasury yield, resulting in a clear yield suppression effect on the stock market from bonds. According to the Shiller model, the S&P 500 may outperform bonds by only about 1% annually over the next decade. The 20-year paradigm of stocks outperforming bonds has officially come to an end.
Iron ore retreats, copper takes the lead: Australian mining stocks find a new growth story
Analysts state that the rapid growth in copper demand driven by power infrastructure and artificial intelligence (AI) provides a new rationale for investors to allocate to the mining sector. Australian mining stocks are expected to continue their upward trend.
