Spot gold short-term trading advice: range-bound trading, sell on rallies, buy on dips.

智通财经2026/07/30 21:01

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(1) Analysis: Spot gold rebounded to around $4,080, supported by differences in the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and safe-haven demand. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but hawkish expectations are limiting the upside. The US dollar trend and US Treasury yields remain the main pressure factors. Ongoing geopolitical risks continue to enhance gold's appeal as a safe haven. In the short term, pay attention to whether the $4,100 level is breached, with the overall outlook remaining range-bound. (2) Key focus: US Treasury yields, US Dollar Index, geopolitical situation (3) Resistance: 4,100, 4,120, 4,150 (4) Support: 4,050, 4,020, 4,000;

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Deutsche Bank points out that as central banks in the US, Europe, and Japan are tightening policy simultaneously, the market may still be underpricing the eventual terminal rates. With oil prices remaining high, inflation may spill over into core inflation and wages. Moreover, financial conditions have not tightened in tandem, which could weaken the effect of rate hikes. Citing the experience of 2022, Deutsche Bank notes that the market then expected a total of around 200 basis points of Fed rate hikes in the first year, but the final figure exceeded 400 basis points, illustrating that the market often underestimates the terminal rate.

华尔街见闻•2026/09/21 16:11