Corinth Investments says geopolitical risk premium stays elevated despite fragile stabilization
Reuters2026/08/11 14:21- Corinth Investments flagged elevated geopolitical risk despite market resilience, describing conditions as “fragile stabilization” with a higher risk premium.
- Middle East transport disruptions eased, but oil-supply risk persists; the IEA called Hormuz restrictions the largest oil-market supply shock on record.
- About 20 million barrels per day typically transit the Strait of Hormuz; the IMF baseline sees a gradual reopening with pre-conflict conditions by March 2027.
- IMF warned buffers are largely used up, raising exposure to renewed supply shocks; global headline inflation forecast at 4.7% in 2026.
- IMF projected global growth at about 3.0% in 2026, 3.4% in 2027; Corinth urged tighter risk screening for long-duration investments.
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