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Stifel raises the S&P 500 year-end target to 7,900 points

Stifel raises the S&P 500 year-end target to 7,900 points

路透社路透社2026/10/05 15:26
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Reuters, October 5 – Stifel has raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 .SPX benchmark index from 7,800 to 7,900, citing expectations of stronger corporate earnings and gains driven by AI spending, despite a worsening macroeconomic environment. Key details include: In a report released on Sunday, the brokerage said robust government spending and AI investments are propelling profit growth. However, it also noted that strong economic activity is keeping interest rates elevated for a longer period. The revised target is 1.9% higher than the index’s current level. Despite rising energy costs, persistent inflation, high bond yields, and cooling enthusiasm for AI, U.S. equities remain resilient. The brokerage stated that sticky inflation is once again dominating market movements, strong economic data is putting pressure on stocks, and the safe-haven appeal of bonds has diminished. “Capital expenditures and operating leverage in the tech sector continue to drive margin expansion in the S&P 500,” the report said. Stifel's forecast is slightly below the consensus among brokerages, many of which predict the S&P 500 will close at 8,000 points or higher by the end of 2026 (link), with the bull market extending into next year. (For ease of non-English speakers, Reuters provides automated translations of its reports into several other languages. Since automated translations may contain errors or lack required context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of the automated translation and provides it solely for readers’ convenience. Reuters will not be liable for any damage or loss arising from the use of the automated translation feature.)

- Stifel has raised its year-end .SPX S&P 500 benchmark index target from 7,800 to 7,900, citing expectations for stronger corporate earnings and gains from artificial intelligence spending, despite a worsening macroeconomic environment.

Details are as follows:

  • The brokerage said in a report released on Sunday, that resilient government spending and AI investments are driving profit growth.

  • However, the firm stated, strong economic activity has also resulted in interest rates remaining at higher levels for a longer period.

  • The revised target is 1.9% higher than the current level of the index.

  • Despite rising energy costs, persistent inflation, elevated bond yields, and a cooling enthusiasm for artificial intelligence in the market, US stocks remain resilient.

  • The brokerage noted that stubborn inflation is again dominating market trends, strong economic data is putting pressure on equities, while the safe-haven appeal of bonds has diminished.

  • “Capital expenditures and operating leverage in the technology sector continue to drive margin expansion in the S&P 500 index,” the report said.

  • Stifel’s forecast is slightly below the consensus among brokerages, many of which expect the S&P 500 to end 2026 at 8,000 points or above (link), with the bull market continuing into next year.



(To assist non-native English speakers, Reuters has provided automated translations of its reports into several other languages. As automated translations may contain errors or lack essential context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of these translations and provides them solely for reader convenience. Reuters accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage resulting from the use of automated translation services.)

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