CME Federal Reserve Watch: Probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in December is 68%

智通财经2026/10/06 22:26

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According to CME "FedWatch", there is a 79.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by October, and a 20.5% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. By December, there is a 15.5% probability that rates will remain unchanged, a 68.0% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point increase, and a 16.5% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.

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According to CME "FedWatch": There is a 79.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October, and a 20.5% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. There is a 15.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged until December, a 68.0% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike, and a 16.5% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.

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