Peter Brandt Sees 30-Year Yield at 7%. Would Bitcoin and Stocks Survive?

Veteran trader Peter Brandt says the 30-year yield has ended its pullback and could climb to 6.5% to 7%. He calls a drop below 5% unlikely. The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds sat near 5.35% on Tuesday, below its October high of about 5.67%. Brandts target could lift mortgage rates and raise the bar for Bitcoin (BTC) and stocks. Why Did the 30-Year Yield Bounce From 5.22%? Brandt said the yield bottomed at 5.22% during the retreat from its October high. That leaves the bounce at about 0.13 percentage point. The 30-year yield rose from 4.83% at the end of June to above 5.3% by August. A hotter-than-expected October inflation report drove Tuesdays move, CNBC reported. The 10-year yield briefly topped 5% as well. Fed Governor Christopher Wallers comments also fueled bets on a hike. Traders now price an 84% chance of a December Fed hike. What Would 7% Do to Stocks, Mortgages and Bitcoin? Mortgage rates reached about 7%, a two-year high, when the 30-year yield neared 5.5%. A move toward 7% could push them higher. Equity valuations face the same pressure. Merrills Antony Ghee has flagged a sustained 10-year yield above 5% as the main near-term risk for stocks. BTC trades near $73,820, down 11.7% over 30 days, according to BeInCrypto Markets data. Bitcoins October loss of 7% came as bonds and oil broke their usual patterns. Washington is pushing back. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doubled long-dated bond buybacks to $4 billion, yet StoneX noted the 30-year still topped 5.3%. A 7% yield would exceed the 6.15% average since 1977, Macrotrends data shows. That could reprice mortgages, corporate debt, and every asset benchmarked to the risk-free rate, including bitcoin. Read the article at BeInCrypto