Standard Chartered expects the Fed to cut interest rates in June, which will push the dollar down
Standard Chartered said the Fed may be more inclined to ease monetary policy in the second quarter if prices or economic activity cool sufficiently, which would push the dollar to "slightly weaken" from mid-year onwards. Analysts wrote in a report that our base case scenario is that the Fed will cut interest rates before or in conjunction with other central banks, which is negative for the dollar as improving risk appetite and liquidity conditions will lead to dollar selling. Optimism in risk assets is negative for the U.S. dollar, but if the spread between the Fed's rates and other central bank rates is maintained, then the U.S. dollar "could be moderately weak rather than collapsing."
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