Is the Petrodollar era ending following Trump's remarks? A look at EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and the Dollar Index (DXY)
US Dollar Surges to New Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Since the onset of the conflict involving the US, Iran, and Israel, the US Dollar has experienced a remarkable rally, swiftly surpassing its previous 2026 highs. While many traders had been betting against the dollar since early 2025—anticipating a decline even as the currency mostly traded sideways since July—this pessimistic outlook intensified following the latest Bank of America Fund Manager survey. Our earlier analyses have highlighted this prevailing bearish sentiment. However, when the market is heavily positioned for a drop and an unexpected event sparks a supply squeeze, dramatic price movements can occur. This is exactly what unfolded with the USD.
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