EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Euro hovers below 0.8655 resistance amid weak German data

The Euro (EUR) has turned lower against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, although it remains moving within Friday's range. The pair retreated from session highs near 0.8650 and trades at 0.8637 at the time of writing, as downbeat German Factory Orders have set the Euro under renewed pressure.

Data released by Destatis earlier on Monday revealed that industrial orders dropped 3.8% in April, more than three times the 1,2% decline anticipated by the market consensus. Beyond that, March figures have been revised down to a 4.5% increase from the previous 5.0% estimate. These figures highlight the negative impact of the Middle East war on the Eurozone’s industrial sector. 

Technical Analysis: In a triangle pattern with a bearish outcome favoured

EUR/GBP is trading sideways, with technical indicators showing a neutral-to-bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains unable to extend above the 50 mark while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is marginally negative and flattening, altogether hinting at a mild bearish momentum.

The technical picture shows the pair trading within a symmetrical triangle. This is considered a continuation pattern and, therefore, the favoured outcome is negative. Sellers, however, will have to confirm below Friday's low, at 0.8630, to expose the May 25 low at 0.8618 and the year-to-date (YTD) lows, at 0.8611.

Upside attempts, on the other hand, are likely to be tested at the 0.8655 area (May 4, 5 highs). Further up, the top of the triangle, at 0.8675, and the area between May 29 and May 19 highs at 0.8681 and 0.8687, respectively, are the next targets.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)